Iran’s nuclear facilities: Potential targets long in Israel’s sights

VIENNA — After Iran’s large-scale missile attack on Israel on Tuesday, which saw nearly 200 ballistic missiles launched directly at the country, there is speculation that Israel could strike Iran’s nuclear facilities, as it has long threatened to do.

Iran’s nuclear program is spread over many locations. While the threat of Israeli airstrikes has loomed for decades, only some of the sites have been built underground.

The US and the UN nuclear watchdog believe Iran had a coordinated, secret nuclear weapons program that it halted in 2003. The Islamic Republic denies ever having had one or planning to have one.

Iran agreed to restrictions on its nuclear activities in exchange for relief from international sanctions under a 2015 deal with world powers. That pact fell apart after then-President Donald Trump pulled out the US in 2018 and Iran started abandoning the restrictions the next year.

Iran has been expanding its uranium enrichment program ever since, reducing the so-called “breakout time” it would need to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a nuclear bomb to a matter of weeks, from at least a year under the 2015 accord.

Actually making a bomb with that material would take longer. How long is less clear and the subject of debate.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2024, at Discovery World in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Andy Manis)

Iran is now enriching uranium to up to 60 percent fissile purity, close to the 90% of weapons grade, at two sites, and in theory it has enough material enriched to that level for almost four bombs, according to a yardstick of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN watchdog.

Below are some of Iran’s main nuclear sites.

Natanz

A complex at the heart of Iran’s enrichment program on a plain abutting mountains outside the Shi’ite Muslim holy city of Qom, south of Tehran. Natanz houses facilities including two enrichment plants: the vast, underground Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP) and the above-ground Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant (PFEP).

An exiled Iranian opposition group revealed in 2002 that Iran was secretly building Natanz, igniting a diplomatic standoff between the West and Iran over its nuclear intentions that continues today.

The FEP was built for enrichment on a commercial scale, able to house 50,000 centrifuges. Around 14,000 centrifuges are currently installed there, roughly 11,000 of which are in operation, refining uranium to up to 5% purity.

Diplomats with knowledge of Natanz describe the FEP as being about three floors below ground. There has long been debate about how much damage Israeli airstrikes could do to it.

Centrifuges line a hall at the Uranium Enrichment Facility in Natanz, Iran, in a still image from a video aired by the Islamic Republic Iran Broadcasting company on April 17, 2021, six days after the hall had been damaged in a mysterious attack. (IRIB via AP)

Damage has been done to centrifuges at the FEP by other means, including an explosion and power cut in April 2021 that Iran said was an attack by Israel.

The above-ground PFEP houses only a few hundred centrifuges but Iran is enriching to up to 60% purity there.

Fordo

On the opposite side of Qom, Fordow is an enrichment site dug into a mountain and therefore probably better protected from potential bombardment than the FEP.

The 2015 deal with major powers did not allow Iran to enrich at Fordow at all. It now has more than 1,000 centrifuges operating there, a fraction of them advanced IR-6 machines enriching to up to 60%.

In addition, Iran recently doubled the number of centrifuges installed at Fordow, with all the new ones being IR-6 machines.

The US, Britain and France announced in 2009 that Iran had been secretly building Fordow for years and had failed to inform the IAEA. US President Barack Obama said then: “The size and configuration of this facility is inconsistent with a peaceful program.”

A satellite image from September 15, 2017, of the Fordo nuclear facility in Iran. (Google Earth)

Isfahan

Iran has a large nuclear technology center on the outskirts of Isfahan, its second largest city.

It includes the Fuel Plate Fabrication Plant (FPFP) and the uranium conversion facility (UCF) that can process uranium into the uranium hexafluoride that is fed into centrifuges.

There is equipment at Isfahan to make uranium metal, a process that is particularly proliferation-sensitive since it can be used to devise the core of a nuclear bomb.

The IAEA has said there are machines for making centrifuge parts at Isfahan, describing it in 2022 as a “new location.”

A technician works at the Uranium Conversion Facility just outside the city of Isfahan, Iran, 255 miles (410 kilometers) south of the capital Tehran, Iran, February 3, 2007. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi, file)

Khondab

Iran has a partially built heavy-water research reactor originally called Arak and now Khondab. Heavy-water reactors pose a nuclear proliferation risk because they can easily produce plutonium which, like enriched uranium, can be used to make the core of an atom bomb.

Under the 2015 deal, construction was halted, the reactor’s core was removed and filled with concrete to make it unusable. The reactor was to be redesigned “to minimize the production of plutonium and not to produce weapon-grade plutonium in normal operation.” Iran has informed the IAEA that it plans to bring the reactor online in 2026.

Tehran Research Center

Iran’s nuclear research facilities in Tehran include a research reactor.

Bushehr

Iran’s only operating nuclear power plant, on the Gulf coast, uses Russian fuel that Russia then takes back when it is spent, reducing the proliferation risk.

Times of Israel staff contributed to this report.