Israeli military is watching the war in Ukraine closely – analysis

The IDF will study footage released on social media as well as all the military power being used by both sides in order to better prepare for the next war that it will be engaged in.

By ANNA AHRONHEIM
Published: FEBRUARY 24, 2022 13:35
IDF tanks along the Gaza border  (photo credit: REUTERS)
IDF tanks along the Gaza border
(photo credit: REUTERS)

At 5 am on Thursday morning Russia fired hundreds of missiles towards Ukraine, the beginning of its full-scale invasion of the European country which got its independence from Moscow in 1991.

It is a war that will be played out on social media and will showcase Russia’s military might against Ukraine and Western weapons systems.  If Russia’s latest weapons were tested in Syria, they are now being battle-proven in Ukraine.

Videos have already spread over social media of missiles flying over Ukraine, with some reports indicating that they could be naval Kalibr or Iskander ballistic missiles or cruise missiles fired by Russian jets towards strategic Ukrainian targets including military airfields, air defense systems, ammunition depots, infrastructure and more.

Read more on the Ukraine-Russia War:

  • Israelis in Ukraine told to evacuate, Israeli diplomats to help
  • Rabbis stay in Ukraine to support Jewish community
  • Guterres to Putin: ‘In the name of humanity stop this war against Ukraine’
  • How war in Ukraine increases Iran’s threat against Israel – analysis

After the initial missile barrages, that may have been launched by multi-rocket launch systems (MRLS) like the 9A52-4 Tornado, Russian tanks were filmed crossing into Ukraine as well as jets and helicopters flying over Ukrainian cities and towns.

 A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile is launched during the exercises by nuclear forces in an unknown location in Russia, in this still image taken from video released February 19, 2022. (credit: Russian Defence Ministry/Handout via REUTERS)A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile is launched during the exercises by nuclear forces in an unknown location in Russia, in this still image taken from video released February 19, 2022. (credit: Russian Defence Ministry/Handout via REUTERS)

While reports out of a warzone are always tricky, Ukraine reported that at least six fighter jets and one helicopter were downed by their air defenses on Thursday morning.

It was just the beginning of a war that Israel’s military will be keeping a close eye on in order to learn what they might face in a future war on its northern front where Syrian forces have been trained by and received military aid from Russia.

Both Ukraine and Russia have been upgrading their militaries in recent years, but Russia far overpowers both in terms of personnel (850,000 vs 250,000) and weaponry. In terms of airpower, Russia has a total of 4,100 aircraft compared to 318 Ukrainian aircraft.

Russia has one of the most powerful militaries in the world and spent $61.7 billion on its military in 2020. According to Global Firepower, which analyzes the military capabilities of countries around the world, Russia is the second most powerful military in the world. Ukraine meanwhile is ranked 22 out of 140.

Prior to the invasion, Russia had an estimated 200,000 troops deployed to Ukraine’s borders, Moscow also deployed Iskander short-range ballistic missile systems, tanks and artillery. They began their attack at night and waited until morning to start moving their ground forces into place.

Israel watched closely as Russia tested various platforms in Syria and will be watching even closer to see if they can take on the Western arms provided to Ukraine. The IDF will also be watching how the Russian military moves its forces and uses its heavy armored vehicles and tanks in urban areas.

Though the IDF has been investing in precision munitions that can be fired from standoff ranges in order to reduce the risk to ground forces, tanks and armored fighting vehicles remain a central aspect of any battle the IDF engages in.

No IDF tanks have maneuvered into dense urban areas since the 2014 war in the Gaza Strip and the Second Lebanon War in 2006, and the Israeli military will look to learn lessons from any urban combat in this war conducted by the Russians. The Ukrainian response to Russian tanks will also be studied by Israel.

While most of Kyiv’s military is based on antiquated Soviet systems, it has received new equipment from the West including Javelin anti-tank missiles, Stinger anti-aircraft missiles, and Turkish-made Bayrakhtar drones which could be a game-changer.

Turkish and Israeli-made drones were key platforms in another recent war that involved Russia. In the 2020 conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, small tactical drones ripped through Armenian tanks and even Russian air defenses.

Though Kiev is no major drone power and does not have any Israeli-made drones, Ukraine’s military has been fielding an array of small tactical drones, some that can survive GPS jamming, since 2014 and while they alone won’t defeat the Russian military, they likely could become a deadly nuisance.

Among the drones in its arsenal is the Yatagan-2 (“Scimitar”) drone that can cruise for up to 12 minutes searching for targets before diving into one with a two-pound explosive, or the fixed-wing drone called the AN-BK1 Horlystisa made by Antonov (which has built some of the world’s largest transport planes) that are capable of carrying munitions to engage targets.

The IDF is a military that praises itself for its in-depth investigations and its ability to incorporate battlefield lessons. And while Israel’s military will very likely watch Europe’s war from the sidelines but it will watch it closely.

It will study the tweets, Snapchats, Instagram stories and other footage released on social media as well as all the military power being used by both sides in order to better prepare for the next war that it will be engaged in.

Content retrieved from: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-698498.

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